Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.170143 0.200603 0.234659 0.275518 0.323172 0.376959 0.442243
2025-09-14 0.124573 0.163669 0.212019 0.276053 0.358471 0.460817 0.597394
2025-09-21 0.097077 0.138333 0.193346 0.271749 0.380261 0.524760 0.731360
2025-09-28 0.079557 0.121255 0.180425 0.269987 0.401520 0.586901 0.867163
2025-10-05 0.070862 0.114435 0.179652 0.283578 0.444101 0.681468 1.057612
2025-10-12 0.064866 0.110317 0.181653 0.300652 0.492845 0.789334 1.279005
2025-10-19 0.058183 0.103822 0.178680 0.308939 0.528138 0.879674 1.482634
2025-10-26 0.051269 0.095732 0.171749 0.309376 0.550050 0.950262 1.661298
2025-11-02 0.043986 0.085797 0.160181 0.300064 0.553818 0.990567 1.792860
2025-11-09 0.037201 0.075688 0.146834 0.285601 0.546332 1.010102 1.889579
2025-11-16 0.033328 0.070504 0.141707 0.285329 0.564032 1.074938 2.072394
2025-11-23 0.029039 0.063838 0.132847 0.276705 0.564811 1.108703 2.201040
2025-11-30 0.026325 0.060226 0.129920 0.280236 0.591222 1.196309 2.447340
2025-12-07 0.023597 0.056188 0.125653 0.280658 0.611898 1.276026 2.689232
2025-12-14 0.020831 0.051596 0.119535 0.276273 0.621988 1.335717 2.897608
2025-12-21 0.018644 0.047962 0.114944 0.274482 0.637162 1.407064 3.137317
2025-12-28 0.017809 0.047423 0.117205 0.288291 0.687998 1.558104 3.561011
2026-01-04 0.017248 0.047469 0.120809 0.305637 0.748801 1.736760 4.063121
2026-01-11 0.016180 0.046036 0.120675 0.314055 0.789956 1.876500 4.493676
2026-01-18 0.014783 0.043498 0.117462 0.314500 0.812221 1.976023 4.843499
2026-01-25 0.013058 0.039762 0.110682 0.305039 0.809189 2.016904 5.061623
2026-02-01 0.011310 0.035657 0.102333 0.290346 0.791196 2.020441 5.191325
2026-02-08 0.010367 0.033737 0.099565 0.290070 0.810004 2.114481 5.550123